Friday, October 18, 2024

Death of Hamas Leader - What it could mean


 If Israel were a sane diplomatic player, a new path in Gaza would be available, and it would be a significant move towards an endgame. 

Israel has killed the leader of Hamas. Israel's stated position is that they needed to end Hamas. This killing did not do that completely, but it is an oversized news item.

At this point, Israel should declare a unilateral ceasefire for 3 weeks. Israel has divided Gaza into two districts, so they can rightly say that if the cease-fire is breached in one of the regions, the war in that region will begin again. This allows Israel to offer a plan of hope in return for peace. And it can offer this carrot and stick to the two areas and react accordingly.

Why 3 weeks? Netanyahu is waiting to see what the outcome of the US Election is. If Trump wins, he goes all in on killing as many Palestinians as he can. If Harris wins, then he will have to change his plans to wipe out Palestinians and find another way to move forward.

In either case, a cease-fire could be helpful time to reinforce their army or, hopefully, plan for the peace.

But as implied in the first sentence, I don't think Israel is a sane diplomatic player. I believe Netanyahu is blundering his way through a conflict to save his skin for crimes. NOTE: this is not an anti-Israeli or anti-semitic rant or sentiment. I definitely hope for peace, and I believe that this path proves the most positive way forward for Israel.

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