Template for another Yugoslavian War or for Yugoslavian Peace?

A curious "non-paper" is now floating around the European Union HQ. A "non-paper" is a working proposal for discussions. That is, it is a what-if document. In this case a what-if document that might be a solution or might be a new cause of war in the former Yugoslavia. This is a pretty good map of the issue area.

At the very top left corner is the country of Slovenia, which was part of Yugoslavia and is now the richest part of ex-Yugoslavia and the only part that uses the Euro. In this map, the EU countries encircle the non-EU ones. Croatia (upper left), Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria and Greece encircle the non-EU members. And EU membership keeps drawing further away from Montenegro and Macedonia (now called north Macedonia). As for the others, Bosnia Herzegovina, Serbia and Albania are much further behind in EU discussions.

So what the paper proposes is to

1) Allow Serbia to absorb about 1/2 of Bosnia (the Sparsk Republic portion), Croatia to absorb about 1/3 to 1/4 of Bosnia. Bosnia would be divided or reduced to a lump around Sarajevo, but be given membership in the EU. Note: This was the direct cause of the last Yugoslavian War as Croatia and Serbia tried to divide up Bosnia.

2) Allow Albania and Kosovo to merge into a Greater Albania.

3) Serbia to get some slice of Kosovo, Macedonia and Montenegro that have Serbian majority populations.

4) Croatia to gain a slice of Montenegro

And then, with these new boundaries, let the countries into the EU with peace keepers. It is an interesting idea and one that will probably (very probably!) lead to a new war. Particularly since this "solution" would be imposed on Bosnia, Montenegro and Macedonia.

Now, if it really came with EU membership, it might be okay. But much of this benefits the long held dream (pre-WWI) of a "Greater Serbia" that would inflame old passions. Oddly, this is at least partially the result of Serbian Covid Diplomacy. That is, Serbia has been gifting Covid vaccines (made in China) throughout the area to build good will.

Interesting.